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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
West Virginia Governor
In the 2016 West Virginia Governor race, James Justice (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.8
Final polls said
R+5.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+10.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Repass | D+11.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Just Win Strategies | D+2.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+13.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | R+9.0 | 15.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0416
SurveyMonkey2016-10-288
Repass2016-10-144
Global Strategy Group2016-10-143
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2016-09-156
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 West Virginia Governor race?
James Justice (D) won, by about 6.8 points (D+6.8).
When was the 2016 West Virginia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.