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Toss-up · 2016 House
Alaska House
In the 2016 Alaska House race, Don Young (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.3
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaska Survey Research | R+15.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | R+2.0 | 12.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-10-1712
Alaska Survey Research2016-09-301
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Alaska House race?
Don Young (R) won, by about 14.3 points (R+14.3).
When was the 2016 Alaska House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.