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Toss-up · 2016 House
California House
In the 2016 California House race, Jeff Denham (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.4
Final polls said
D+3.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+1.0 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+5.0 | 8.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Impact Research2016-10-148
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-124
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 California House race?
Jeff Denham (R) won, by about 3.4 points (R+3.4).
When was the 2016 California House election held?
It was held in November 2016.