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Toss-up · 2016 House
Indiana House
In the 2016 Indiana House race, Trey Hollingsworth (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.7
Final polls said
R+1.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+2.0 | 11.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Normington, Petts & Associates | R+2.0 | 11.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | R+2.0 | 11.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | EVEN | 13.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2016-11-0212
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2016-10-1714
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-10-1212
Global Strategy Group2016-10-0112
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Indiana House race?
Trey Hollingsworth (R) won, by about 13.7 points (R+13.7).
When was the 2016 Indiana House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.