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Toss-up · 2016 House
Louisiana House
In the 2016 Louisiana House race, Clay Higgins (R) won with 56.1% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+12.2.
Actual result
D+12.2
Final polls said
D+7.6
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | D+7.6 | 4.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Trafalgar Group2016-11-165
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Louisiana House race?
Clay Higgins (R) won, with 56.1% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+12.2, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2016 Louisiana House election held?
It was held in November 2016.