Actual result
R+32.1
Final polls said
R+16.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+20.9
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+20.9 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center | R+16.0 | 16.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | DFM Research | R+16.0 | 16.1 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center | 2016-10-08 | 722 | R+16.0 | 16 |
| DFM Research | 2016-09-08 | 402 | R+16.0 | 16 |