← all past elections
Toss-up · 2017 House
Montana House
In the 2017 Montana House race, Greg Gianforte (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+5.6
Final polls said
R+9.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+6.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Change Research | R+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | R+14.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Emerson College | R+15.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2017-05-228
Change Research2017-05-221
Gravis Marketing2017-05-032
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2017-04-260
Emerson College2017-04-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2017 Montana House race?
Greg Gianforte (R) won, by about 5.6 points (R+5.6).
When was the 2017 Montana House election held?
It was held in November 2017.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.