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Toss-up · 2017 House
Montana House
In the 2017 Montana House race, Greg Gianforte (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+5.6
Final polls said
R+9.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+6.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Change Research | R+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | R+14.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Emerson College | R+15.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2017-05-228
Change Research2017-05-221
Gravis Marketing2017-05-032
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2017-04-260
Emerson College2017-04-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2017 Montana House race?
Greg Gianforte (R) won, by about 5.6 points (R+5.6).
When was the 2017 Montana House election held?
It was held in November 2017.