Actual result
R+32.4
Final polls said
R+32.3
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+39.1
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+27.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+39.1 | 6.7 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | 2017-10-13 | 410 | R+27.0 | 5 |
| Dan Jones & Associates | 2017-09-17 | 600 | R+37.7 | 5 |