Toss-up · 2017 Senate

Alabama Senate

In the 2017 Alabama Senate race, Gordon Douglas Jones (D) won by about 2 points.

Actual result

D+1.6

Final polls said

R+9.8

4 late polls · ✗

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	InsiderAdvantage	D+2.3	0.7	✓
2	The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government	D+3.0	1.4	✓
3	Monmouth University Polling Institute	R+0.3	1.9	✗
4	The Polling Company Inc./National Research Inc.	R+1.0	2.6	✗
5	SurveyMonkey	D+5.0	3.4	✓
6	Gravis Marketing	R+4.0	5.6	✗
7	JMC Analytics	R+5.0	6.6	✗
8	Trafalgar Group	R+5.1	6.7	✗
9	WT&S Consulting	R+5.9	7.5	✗
10	Change Research	R+6.0	7.6	✗
11	YouGov	R+6.0	7.6	✗
12	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research	D+10.0	8.4	✓
13	Strategy Research	R+7.0	8.6	✗
14	Sky Research	R+7.1	8.7	✗
15	NRSC	D+12.0	10.4	✓
16	Emerson College	R+9.0	10.6	✗
17	Axis Research	R+17.0	18.6	✗