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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Arkansas Governor
In the 2018 Arkansas Governor race, Asa Hutchinson (R) won by about 34 points.
Actual result
R+33.6
Final polls said
R+30.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hendrix College | R+36.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+24.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hendrix College2018-10-182
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2018-10-1510
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Arkansas Governor race?
Asa Hutchinson (R) won, by about 33.6 points (R+33.6).
When was the 2018 Arkansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.