← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 House
Kansas House
In the 2018 Kansas House race, Ron Estes (R) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
R+18.9
Final polls said
R+29.8
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+29.8 | 10.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-10-2711
Emerson College2018-09-275
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Kansas House race?
Ron Estes (R) won, by about 18.9 points (R+18.9).
When was the 2018 Kansas House election held?
It was held in November 2018.