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Toss-up · 2018 Senate
Mississippi Senate
In the 2018 Mississippi Senate race, Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
R+19.0
Final polls said
R+16.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+14.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | R+26.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns | R+10.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Change Research | R+5.0 | 14.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2018-11-252
JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns2018-11-213
Change Research2018-11-0311
Marist College2018-10-157
Marist College2018-10-157
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Mississippi Senate race?
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) won, by about 19.0 points (R+19.0).
When was the 2018 Mississippi Senate election held?
It was held in November 2018.