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Toss-up · 2020 Senate
Mississippi Senate
In the 2020 Mississippi Senate race, Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.0
Final polls said
R+5.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Civiqs | R+8.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Data for Progress | R+3.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 95% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 6 | The Economist | Rep 92% | 0.006 | ✓ |
| 7 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 8 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 88% | 0.014 | ✓ |
| 10 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 84% | 0.026 | ✓ |
| 11 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 80% | 0.040 | ✓ |
| 12 | Race to the WH | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Data for Progress2020-10-297
Civiqs2020-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Mississippi Senate race?
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) won, by about 10.0 points (R+10.0).
When was the 2020 Mississippi Senate election held?
It was held in November 2020.