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Toss-up · 2020 Senate
Mississippi Senate
In the 2020 Mississippi Senate race, Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.0
Final polls said
R+5.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Civiqs | R+8.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Data for Progress | R+3.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 95% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 6 | The Economist | Rep 92% | 0.006 | ✓ |
| 7 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 8 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 88% | 0.014 | ✓ |
| 10 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 84% | 0.026 | ✓ |
| 11 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 80% | 0.040 | ✓ |
| 12 | Race to the WH | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Data for Progress2020-10-297
Civiqs2020-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Mississippi Senate race?
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) won, by about 10.0 points (R+10.0).
When was the 2020 Mississippi Senate election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.