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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Arkansas Governor
In the 2022 Arkansas Governor race, Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) won by about 28 points.
Actual result
R+27.8
Final polls said
R+14.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remington Research Group | R+25.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+19.1 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Hendrix College | R+10.0 | 17.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2022-10-229
Hendrix College2022-10-1718
Remington Research Group2022-09-143
Hendrix College2022-09-1217
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Arkansas Governor race?
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) won, by about 27.8 points (R+27.8).
When was the 2022 Arkansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.