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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Arkansas Governor
In the 2022 Arkansas Governor race, Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) won by about 28 points.
Actual result
R+27.8
Final polls said
R+14.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remington Research Group | R+25.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+19.1 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Hendrix College | R+10.0 | 17.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2022-10-229
Hendrix College2022-10-1718
Remington Research Group2022-09-143
Hendrix College2022-09-1217
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Arkansas Governor race?
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) won, by about 27.8 points (R+27.8).
When was the 2022 Arkansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.