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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Nebraska Governor
In the 2022 Nebraska Governor race, Jim Pillen (R) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
R+23.2
Final polls said
R+7.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Data Targeting | R+7.0 | 16.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 89% | 0.011 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Data Targeting2022-09-2716
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Nebraska Governor race?
Jim Pillen (R) won, by about 23.2 points (R+23.2).
When was the 2022 Nebraska Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.