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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Vermont Governor
In the 2022 Vermont Governor race, Phil Scott (R) won by about 47 points.
Actual result
R+47.0
Final polls said
R+41.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Data for Progress | R+41.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+17.0 | 30.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Data for Progress2022-10-236
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2022-10-0130
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Vermont Governor race?
Phil Scott (R) won, by about 47.0 points (R+47.0).
When was the 2022 Vermont Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.