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Toss-up · 2022 House
Delaware House
In the 2022 Delaware House race, Lisa Blunt Rochester (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.5
Final polls said
D+17.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Delaware Center for Political Communication | D+17.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Fox News | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Race to the WH | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Delaware Center for Political Communication2022-09-225
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Delaware House race?
Lisa Blunt Rochester (D) won, by about 12.5 points (D+12.5).
When was the 2022 Delaware House election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.