Toss-up · 2022 Senate

Connecticut Senate

In the 2022 Connecticut Senate race, Richard Blumenthal (D) won by about 15 points.

Actual result

D+14.9

Final polls said

D+17.4

3 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Quinnipiac University	D+15.0	0.1	✓
2	Western New England University Polling Institute	D+13.0	1.9	✓
3	Emerson College	D+12.3	2.6	✓
4	Fabrizio, Lee & Associates	D+5.0	9.9	✓
5	Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis	D+25.0	10.1	✓

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	CNalysis	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
2	Cook Political	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
3	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
4	The Economist	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
5	Elections Daily	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
6	FiveThirtyEight	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
7	Inside Elections	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
8	JHK Forecasts	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
9	Race to the WH	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
10	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
11	Split Ticket	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
12	VotePredictor Elections	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
13	Fox News	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
14	RealClearPolitics	Dem 75%	0.062	✓