← all past elections
Toss-up · 2024 President
Nebraska President
In the 2024 Nebraska President race, Donald J Trump (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+20.5
Final polls said
R+15.4
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Change Research | R+18.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | R+15.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+14.5 | 6.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Split Ticket | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Race to the WH | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fox News | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Silver Bulletin | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2024-10-303
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-246
YouGov2024-10-246
Change Research2024-10-197
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Nebraska President race?
Donald J Trump (R) won, by about 20.5 points (R+20.5).
When was the 2024 Nebraska President election held?
It was held in November 2024.