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Toss-up · 2024 President
Nebraska President
In the 2024 Nebraska President race, the Democrat (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.6
Final polls said
D+10.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+8.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | The New York Times/Siena College | D+12.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Dem 98% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 4 | Silver Bulletin | Dem 93% | 0.005 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 92% | 0.006 | ✓ |
| 6 | Race to the WH | Dem 92% | 0.006 | ✓ |
| 7 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 8 | Cook Political | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 10 | Elections Daily | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 11 | Split Ticket | Dem 88% | 0.014 | ✓ |
| 12 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 13 | Inside Elections | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 14 | Fox News | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-247
YouGov2024-10-243
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Nebraska President race?
the Democrat (D) won, by about 4.6 points (D+4.6).
When was the 2024 Nebraska President election held?
It was held in November 2024.