VotePredictor
past elections

Georgia Senate

Actual result
D+0.9
Final polls said
D+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+3.5
Winner
Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1VotePredictorD+3.52.5
2Monmouth UniversityD+5.04.0

Polls (1)

PollsterDatenPollMiss
Monmouth University2022-10-22615D+5.04