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Mississippi U.S. Senate election, 2026

Scott Colom vs. Cindy Hyde-Smith. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Cindy Hyde-Smith favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+13.0
99%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Scott Colom

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Ty Pinkins · Independent

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Data for Progress2026-08-15R+6.0
Impact Research2026-04-12R+3.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Likely R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Likely R
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Safe R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Safe R
as of Oct 7, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Mississippi we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Obama cuts ad in Mississippi Senate race

Former President Barack Obama has cut an ad for Mississippi Senate candidate Scott Colom, the latest sign of Democrats putting real effort behind boosting their candidate in the deep red state as they eye a potential upset next month. The Colom campaign will …

Biztoc.com · October 12, 2026
The people are 'ready for a new direction': Mississippi Dem touts plan to beat Trump, GOP 'betrayal'

It's been more than 40 years since a Democrat has won a Senate race in Mississippi, but Senate Candidate Scott Colom thinks ...

Biztoc.com · October 10, 2026
How Worried Should Dems Be About the GOP’s Huge Cash Advantage?

You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside Washington How worried should Dems be about the GOP’s huge cash advantage?Late Wednesday nig…

The New Republic · October 2, 2026
Is Mississippi Really On the Table?

Washington Sun: “Even the most optimistic Democrats scoffed at the idea of a competitive race in the ruby-red state going into this campaign cycle. But voters’ anxiety about the economy has deepened, their opinions of President Donald Trump have tanked, and a…

Politicalwire.com · October 2, 2026
Dems zero in on one word that could sink GOP's midterm attacks: 'A real opportunity'

Republicans are dusting off a familiar playbook this midterm cycle, flooding the airwaves with soft-on-crime attacks against Democratic candidates nationwide. New Democratic polling suggests there's a single word that could blunt the whole strategy: corruptio…

Raw Story · September 28, 2026
This Is How Bad Things Are For Republicans

Democratic dreams of midterm victory are alive in Mississippi and Kansas—two states that have been conservative strongholds for decades. Republican Senator Tim Scott admitted as much while speaking with Semafor about the Kansas Senate race between Republican …

The New Republic · October 1, 2026
'I've done a bad job': Trump acknowledges voter anger as GOP braces for disaster

President Donald Trump admitted this week he's failed to convince Americans the economy is actually working, as Senate Republicans head home for the midterms carrying real fear that the party hasn't done enough to address voters' financial pain.Despite passin…

Raw Story · October 1, 2026
CLARITY Act needs 11 more Senate votes, but 4 of the 49 it already has want the bill changed

Four Republican senators who voted to advance the CLARITY Act on Sept. 15 also appear as named supporters on a bank-backed amendment seeking tougher restrictions on stablecoin yield. As Punchbowl News reported on Sept. 21, John Cornyn, John Curtis, Cindy Hyde…

CryptoSlate · September 22, 2026