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South Carolina governor election, 2026

Jermaine Johnson vs. Alan Wilson. Term-limited.

VotePredictor forecast
Alan Wilson favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+13.4
99%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 3 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Jermaine Johnson

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Alan Wilson

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Michael Addison · United Citizens
  • Walid Hakim · Green

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Resonance Media2026-10-03R+10.0
Hart Research2026-08-15R+8.0
Public Policy Polling2026-07-17R+8.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Lean R
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Likely R
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct. 13, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every South Carolina election for governor we hold a result for.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Exclusive: Wes Moore Bets on Bi-Partisanship in a Divisive Age

Is bipartisanship a lost art, or have we simply grown too disillusioned with establishment leaders to recognize a bridge-builder when we see one? Near sacred ground in Oklahoma City — blocks from the site of the deadliest act of domestic terrorism on Ameri…

The Root · August 6, 2026
Alan Wilson wins GOP nomination for South Carolina governor after dual Trump endorsement

State Attorney General Alan Wilson has won the Republican nomination for governor of South Carolina, NBC News projected Tuesday, after a closely watched runoff that featured President Donald Trump’s unusual double endorsement of two candidates. Wilson is now …

Freerepublic.com · June 23, 2026
Sources: S.C. Democrats Pushing Only Black Candidate From 2026 Primary

South Carolina Democrats are reportedly leaning on state representative Jermaine Johnson to pull out of the 2026 governor’s race – thus making way for their preferred candidate, multimillionaire William M. “Billy” Webster IV. Johnson, 39, of Hopkins, S.C. is …

Freerepublic.com · March 20, 2026
South Carolina to build first monument to an African American

BEAUFORT, SOUTH CAROLINA — South Carolina is preparing to put up its first individual statue for an African American on its Statehouse lawn, honoring a man who put on Confederate clothes in order to steal a slaveholder's ship and sail his family and a dozen o…

VOA News · November 2, 2024
Where to Stream Oscar-Nominated Movies

Oscar season has always been a great time for movie buffs. And though we have to wait until the 96th Academy Awards ceremony commences on Sunday, March 10 to see which of the nominated films take the prize, it’s a perfect time to watch any (or all) of the fil…

Soundandvision.com · February 29, 2024
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick visits Century Aluminum Mt. Holly, Celebrate Expansion with South Carolina Leaders

CHICAGO, July 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- United States Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, Senior Counselor to President Trump Dr. Peter Navarro and South Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson today joined CEO of Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ: CENX), J…

GlobeNewswire · July 27, 2026
Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette releases statement after runoff defeat - WIS News 10

Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette releases statement after runoff defeatWIS News 10 New York House District 13 Primary 2026 Live ResultsNBC News Alan Wilson Wins Republican Primary for South Carolina GovernorThe New York Times Trump now says either Republican candidate …

Slashdot.org · June 24, 2026
Trump endorsement streak gets unusual boost with South Carolina GOP governor nomination - Fox News

Trump endorsement streak gets unusual boost with South Carolina GOP governor nominationFox News New York House District 13 Primary 2026 Live ResultsNBC News Alan Wilson Wins Republican Primary for South Carolina GovernorThe New York Times Trump now says eithe…

Slashdot.org · June 24, 2026