← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 Governor
South Carolina Governor
In the 2018 South Carolina Governor race, Henry McMaster (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.0
Final polls said
R+16.2
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | R+16.2 | 8.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Trafalgar Group2018-10-308
Trafalgar Group2018-10-1315
Trafalgar Group2018-09-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 South Carolina Governor race?
Henry McMaster (R) won, by about 8.0 points (R+8.0).
When was the 2018 South Carolina Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.