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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
South Carolina Governor
In the 2018 South Carolina Governor race, Henry McMaster (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.0
Final polls said
R+16.2
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | R+16.2 | 8.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Trafalgar Group2018-10-308
Trafalgar Group2018-10-1315
Trafalgar Group2018-09-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 South Carolina Governor race?
Henry McMaster (R) won, by about 8.0 points (R+8.0).
When was the 2018 South Carolina Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.