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South Dakota governor election, 2026

Dan Ahlers vs. Larry Rhoden. Incumbent nominated to full term.

VotePredictor forecast

No verified head-to-head poll is available, so VotePredictor does not publish a numerical probability for this race. The outside ratings below provide context; we do not turn ratings into a fake precision.

Democratic

Dan Ahlers

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Larry Rhoden

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Allison Renville · Independent

Polls

No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
IE
Solid R
Sabato
Safe R
WH
Likely R
RCP
Solid R
Fox
Solid R
VoteHub
Solid R

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.