Democratic
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed democratic candidates: Jennifer Booker, Ed Case, Ben Fatula, Jarrett Keohokalole, Nick Kiswanto.
VotePredictor forecast
Democrat favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+31.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+26.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Adriel Lam
Candidate currently listed in the 2026 field.
Other listed candidates
- Nathan Berning · Independent
- Jordan Conley · Green
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for HI-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for HI-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗