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Toss-up · 2014 House
Hawaii House
In the 2014 Hawaii House race, K. Mark Takai (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+3.9
Final polls said
D+2.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+7.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | MRG Research | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Ward Research | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Global Strategy Group2014-10-203
MRG Research2014-10-184
Ward Research2014-10-154
MRG Research2014-09-138
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Hawaii House race?
K. Mark Takai (D) won, by about 3.9 points (D+3.9).
When was the 2014 Hawaii House election held?
It was held in November 2014.