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Toss-up · 2016 House
Michigan House
In the 2016 Michigan House race, Mike Bishop (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+16.9
Final polls said
R+18.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+18.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | R+6.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2016-10-161
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-10-0311
Public Opinion Strategies2016-09-112
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Michigan House race?
Mike Bishop (R) won, by about 16.9 points (R+16.9).
When was the 2016 Michigan House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.