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Toss-up · 2008 House
New York House
In the 2008 New York House race, Christopher John Lee (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.7
Final polls said
R+14.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+14.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | brilliant corners Research & Strategies | D+10.0 | 14.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-289
SurveyUSA2008-09-246
brilliant corners Research & Strategies2008-09-1615
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New York House race?
Christopher John Lee (R) won, by about 4.7 points (R+4.7).
When was the 2008 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.