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Toss-up · 2011 House
New York House
In the 2011 New York House race, Kathy C. Hochul (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.6
Final polls said
D+4.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+6.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Siena College | D+4.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | R+1.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2011-05-215
Siena College2011-05-197
Public Policy Polling2011-05-077
Global Strategy Group2011-05-0312
Siena College2011-04-2616
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2011 New York House race?
Kathy C. Hochul (D) won, by about 10.6 points (D+10.6).
When was the 2011 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2011.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.