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Toss-up · 2010 House
New York House
In the 2010 New York House race, Carolyn McCarthy (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.3
Final polls said
D+1.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+1.0 | 13.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
McLaughlin & Associates2010-10-0613
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New York House race?
Carolyn McCarthy (D) won, by about 14.3 points (D+14.3).
When was the 2010 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.