Democratic
Summer Lee
Incumbent representative for PA-12. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Summer Lee favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+28.1
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+19.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
James Hayes
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-12. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
The Crucial Voting Bloc in Michigan’s Primary Today
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · August 4, 2026
Green Groups Rally Behind Tennessee's Justin Pearson for Congress
A week away from Tennessee's Democratic primary, a coalition of national advocacy groups endorsed Justin Pearson, who is running to represent the state's 9th Congressional District in the US House of Representatives."Tennesseans deserve a champion who will st…
Common Dreams · July 30, 2026
Sports Betting Giants Join Unprecedented Corporate Efforts to Buy 2026 Midterms
As corporations spend record sums to influence this November's elections, new campaign finance data shows a powerful new interest fueling the trend: sports gambling companies.FanDuel, DraftKings, and others in the sports betting industry have spent $72 millio…
Common Dreams · July 29, 2026
Far-left 'Squad' Dems mix up Jewish colleagues in botched attack — then get burned by their own votes
Moderate Dem Rep. Josh Gottheimer tangled online with far-left “Squad" members after Rep. Summer Lee appeared to confuse him with Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro.
Fox News · July 23, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗