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Toss-up · 2012 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2012 Pennsylvania House race, Keith J. Rothfus (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.5
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Clout Research | R+5.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | McLaughlin & Associates | EVEN | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 5 | Impact Research | D+11.0 | 14.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Clout Research2012-10-232
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2012-10-011
Public Opinion Strategies2012-09-301
Impact Research2012-09-2414
McLaughlin & Associates2012-09-193
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Pennsylvania House race?
Keith J. Rothfus (R) won, by about 3.5 points (R+3.5).
When was the 2012 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2012.