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Toss-up · 2010 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Mark S. Critz (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+1.6
Final polls said
D+4.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact Research | D+2.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | D+0.1 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 2.6 | ✗ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+2.0 | 3.6 | ✗ |
| 6 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | D+7.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Grove Insight | D+7.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Global Strategy Group | D+8.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | We Ask America | D+8.4 | 6.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2010-10-095
ccAdvertising2010-10-071
Grove Insight2010-09-085
Public Policy Polling2010-05-159
We Ask America2010-05-131
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?
Mark S. Critz (D) won, by about 1.6 points (D+1.6).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.