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Toss-up · 2010 House

Pennsylvania House

In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Mike Kelly (R) won by about 11 points.

Actual result
R+11.4
Final polls said
R+11.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1PSB ResearchR+13.01.6✓
2ccAdvertisingR+13.82.4✓
3Mercyhurst University Center for Applied PoliticsR+7.04.4✓
4Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchR+6.05.4✓

The polls behind it

4 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
ccAdvertising2010-10-072
Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics2010-09-284
PSB Research2010-09-262
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2010-09-165

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?

Mike Kelly (R) won, by about 11.4 points (R+11.4).

When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?

It was held in November 2010.

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