Democratic
Madeleine Dean
Incumbent representative for PA-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Madeleine Dean favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+21.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+16.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Aurora Stuski
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-4. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Dem lawmaker says Graham Platner has ‘disqualified himself’ amid mounting allegations
A Democratic lawmaker said Friday that her own party’s presumptive nominee for the US Senate seat from Maine, Graham Platner, has “disqualified himself” from serving in office as a cascade of allegations continues to engulf his campaign. Pennsylvania Rep. Mad…
New York Post · June 5, 2026
Pennsylvania Dem rep claims Graham Platner 'has disqualified himself' from Maine Senate race
Rep. Madeleine Dean says Democratic candidate Graham Platner has disqualified himself from Maine's Senate race amid abuse allegations and controversies.
Fox News · June 5, 2026
Rep. Dean Skewers Todd Blanche Over Redactions Of Epstein Files
Rep. Madeleine Dean tore apart the unconscionable number of redacted files in the Epstein files. She proved that Trump lied about being on Jeffrey Epstein's plane while sycophant acting AG Todd Blanche looked on. DEAN: When will you comply with the law and re…
Crooksandliars.com · June 4, 2026
NO FAKES Reintroduced with More Protections for Libraries and Researchers
A bipartisan, bicameral group of Congress members today reintroduced the “Nurture Originals, Foster Art, and Keep Entertainment Safe Act of 2026” (NO FAKES Act), a bill that would create a federal IP right to an individual’s voice and likeness. Senators Marsh…
IPWatchdog.com · May 20, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗