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Toss-up · 2014 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2014 Pennsylvania House race, Mike Kelly (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+21.3
Final polls said
R+22.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics | R+22.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics2014-10-181
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Pennsylvania House race?
Mike Kelly (R) won, by about 21.3 points (R+21.3).
When was the 2014 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2014.