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Toss-up · 2014 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2014 Pennsylvania House race, Mike Kelly (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+21.3
Final polls said
R+22.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics | R+22.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics2014-10-181
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Pennsylvania House race?
Mike Kelly (R) won, by about 21.3 points (R+21.3).
When was the 2014 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.