Democratic
Seth Magaziner
Incumbent representative for RI-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Seth Magaziner favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+13.0
97%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+7.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Vic Mellor
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for RI-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for RI-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Rhode Island's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Rhode Island MAGA candidate revealed as foreign agent for Cuban Communists: report
This MAGA candidate takes his mojito shaken, not stirred. Victor Mellor, a Jan. 6 rioter running for U.S. Congress in Rhode Island, was revealed Wednesday to be a foreign agent for Communists in Cuba, according to government files and a new report . “M…
Raw Story · July 1, 2026
Dem lawmaker busted on camera slipping into bash with reality TV stars as Americans feel shutdown pain
Democrat Rep. Seth Magaziner was caught sneaking into a "Real Housewives of Rhode Island" watch party amid the government shutdown before Easter travel.
Fox News · April 3, 2026
In Refusing to Impeach Trump, Congress Has Failed the American People and the World
Over a year into President Donald Trump’s second lawless, unconstitutional administration, Congress is only “considering” reasserting themselves as a co-equal branch of government. They have mounted no meaningful response to repeated usurpation of war power…
Common Dreams · March 4, 2026
House Democrats Who Want Stock Trading Ban 'Disappointed' by GOP Proposal
A trio of Democrats in the US House of Representatives leading the fight for a congressional stock trading ban ripped Republican leadership's proposal as an inadequate replacement in a Monday statement released ahead of a scheduled committee markup.Politico r…
Common Dreams · January 12, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗