Vermont District 1 election, 2026

Becca Balint vs. Republican nominee TBD.

VotePredictor forecast

Becca Balint favored

Safe D · predicted margin D+44.1

100%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

D+33.0

2026 national environment

D+5.5

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Becca Balint

Candidate currently listed in the 2026 field.

Republican

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed republican candidates: Mark Coester, Gerald Malloy.

Other listed candidates

Adam Ortiz · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for VT-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for VT-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: VA-9 · WA-1