← all past elections
Toss-up · 2010 House
Vermont House
In the 2010 Vermont House race, Peter Welch (D) won by about 33 points.
Actual result
D+32.5
Final polls said
D+35.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+34.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+36.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-123
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-09-131
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Vermont House race?
Peter Welch (D) won, by about 32.5 points (D+32.5).
When was the 2010 Vermont House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.