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Toss-up · 1998 Governor
Arizona Governor
In the 1998 Arizona Governor race, Jane Hull (R) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
R+25.4
Final polls said
R+18.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | R+25.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+22.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+17.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-308
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-205
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)1998-10-143
Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy1998-09-260
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Arizona Governor race?
Jane Hull (R) won, by about 25.4 points (R+25.4).
When was the 1998 Arizona Governor election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.