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Toss-up · 1998 Governor
California Governor
In the 1998 California Governor race, Gray Davis (D) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
D+19.6
Final polls said
D+12.0
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+23.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+14.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+11.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Los Angeles Times | D+11.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+8.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA1998-11-013
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-309
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-2713
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)1998-10-246
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 California Governor race?
Gray Davis (D) won, by about 19.6 points (D+19.6).
When was the 1998 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.