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Toss-up · 1998 Governor
California Governor
In the 1998 California Governor race, Gray Davis (D) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
D+19.6
Final polls said
D+12.0
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+23.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+14.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+11.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Los Angeles Times | D+11.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+8.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA1998-11-013
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-309
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-2713
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)1998-10-246
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 California Governor race?
Gray Davis (D) won, by about 19.6 points (D+19.6).
When was the 1998 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 1998.