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Toss-up · 1998 Governor
Florida Governor
In the 1998 Florida Governor race, Jeb Bush (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+10.6
Final polls said
R+11.8
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independent Market Research | R+11.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tarrance Group | R+12.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | R+12.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Forman Center | R+8.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+17.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-306
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-273
Tarrance Group1998-10-251
SurveyUSA1998-10-241
Independent Market Research1998-10-220
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Florida Governor race?
Jeb Bush (R) won, by about 10.6 points (R+10.6).
When was the 1998 Florida Governor election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.