Actual result
R+24.4
Final polls said
R+23.7
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+24.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mitchell Research & Communications | R+32.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | EPIC-MRA | R+32.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 1998-10-30 | 1855 | R+24.0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 1998-10-21 | 600 | R+32.0 | 8 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 1998-10-20 | 1535 | R+15.0 | 9 |
| EPIC-MRA | 1998-09-30 | 600 | R+32.0 | 8 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 1998-09-22 | 400 | R+37.0 | 13 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 1998-09-12 | 400 | R+39.0 | 15 |