Michigan 2026 elections

Everything on Michigan's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 2 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 13 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.

Statewide races

Competitive House districts (2)

District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.

MI-10

Christina Hines (D) vs Mike Bouchard (R) · pres lean R+5.5

Lean R

77% · R+5.0

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+5.5, held by John James (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+6.6; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+5.0 — a 77% Republican win. Full race details →

MI-4

Sean McCann (D) vs Bill Huizenga (R) · pres lean R+5.5

Likely R

89% · R+8.4

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+5.5, held by Bill Huizenga (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+10.0; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+8.4 — a 89% Republican win. Full race details →