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Michigan 2026 elections
Everything on Michigan's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 4 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 13 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (4)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based — presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment — with district polling blended in where it exists. Click one to see why.
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+6.0, held by Bill Huizenga (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+2.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+0.1 — a 61% Republican win. Full race details →
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+7.0, held by John James (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+3.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+0.8 — a 54% Republican win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 2 district polls. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+1.0, held by Tom Barrett (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+0.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is D+4.0 — a 77% Democratic win. Full race details →
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+2.0, held by Kristen McDonald Rivet (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+1.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+4.2 — a 80% Democratic win. Full race details →
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives (13)
Jack BergmanR · District 1John R. MoolenaarR · District 2Hillary J. ScholtenD · District 3Bill HuizengaR · District 4Tim WalbergR · District 5Debbie DingellD · District 6Tom BarrettR · District 7Kristen McDonald RivetD · District 8Lisa C. McClainR · District 9John JamesR · District 10Haley M. StevensD · District 11Rashida TlaibD · District 12Shri ThanedarD · District 13
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Michigan we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.
YearWinnerMargin
Past results
Every Michigan election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin