Actual result
R+6.2
Final polls said
D+2.3
4 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 2 | St. Cloud State University | D+2.0 | 8.2 | ✗ |
| 3 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+5.0 | 11.2 | ✗ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 1998-10-29 | 700 | D+5.0 | 11 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-24 | 816 | D+1.0 | 7 |
| St. Cloud State University | 1998-10-24 | 629 | D+2.0 | 8 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 1998-10-17 | 1007 | D+1.0 | 7 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-12 | 825 | D+13.0 | 19 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 1998-09-18 | 1009 | D+20.0 | 26 |