Minnesota Governor
Amy Klobuchar (D) is the clear favorite to win the 2026 Minnesota Governor race — about a 94% chance, winning by about 9 points in the projection, and the lead has grown lately. Updated daily from 3 polls.
How the odds moved
VotePredictor Elections' win probability for each party, rerun from the polls available on each date — hover the chart to read any day. The dashed line is even odds.
What the markets say
Chance of a Democratic winMarket prices are shown for comparison and are never an input to the forecast — a 2024 test found blending Polymarket in made the model's calls measurably worse. Where the two disagree, one of them is wrong, and the track record is the only way to find out which.
Why this forecast
This forecast is poll-driven: 3 polls of the race so far. After weighting them by recency and correcting each pollster's house effect, the model (TabPFN) predicts D+8.7 — a 94% Democratic win.
Latest news
Watch Quisling Amy Klobuchar Grovel Before SomalisFor now, Caucasians can still get elected to public office in the Somali beachhead Minnesota, so long as they are groveling quislings like gubernatorial candidate Amy Klobuchar. Here’s what we can expect her political rallies to look like: In this … Continue …
Moonbattery.com · October 5, 2026
Amy Klobuchar Explains How She Knew Eric Schmitt Was Putting On A Clown Show Before He Did“I knew immediately what it was,” the Minnesota Democrat said.
HuffPost · October 1, 2026
This scumbag's shame shows how low the GOP has plungedIn 1998, Rep. Dan Burton of Indiana, a truly loathsome character at the time but now almost angelic in comparison to today's characters, told the Indianapolis Star that Bill Clinton was "a scumbag" and that's why he was "after him."It was a really big deal.…
Raw Story · September 30, 2026
Klobuchar's NFL post backfires when internet notices glaring problem with her outfit choice: 'Fraud runs deep'Amy Klobuchar posted the same Minnesota Vikings photo for the fourth year in a row, and conservatives are calling the gubernatorial hopeful a fraud.
Fox News · September 15, 2026
Mike Lindell challenges Minnesota GOP primary loss as state Supreme Court rejects recount bidMike Lindell, a prominent Trump supporter, is challenging his Republican primary defeat in Minnesota. The Minnesota Supreme Court rejected his request for a broader recount of the gubernatorial primary ballots. Lindell had argued for a more extensive review o…
The Times of India · August 30, 2026
The One Issue the Midterm Victors Must Solve? CorruptionOne of the most potent midterm election slogans was offered by the Republicans in 1946: “HAD ENOUGH?” The GOP swept into power after years of New Deal dominance.We like to say that what counts is not what you are against, but what you are for. Not always, tho…
brennancenter.org · Yesterday
DAVID MARCUS: Minnesota GOP candidates keep Trump at arm's length as they eye a post-Trump party futureMichele Tafoya and Lisa Demuth navigate a tricky balance on Trump in Minnesota, embracing some policies while keeping the president at arm's length.
Fox News · September 23, 2026
DAVID MARCUS: In deep blue Minnesota a red dawn may be rising ahead of the midtermsMinnesota's GOP candidates Michelle Tafoya and Lisa Demuth are closing in on Democratic Party rivals as a billion-dollar fraud scandal fuels outrage.
Fox News · September 22, 2026
The bad guys have facesFortunately, I’ve completely tuned out of television in this election season, or I’d be even more anxious right now. Minnesota is being flooded with conservative billionaire money. You know who benefits: Republicans. The Republican nominee for governor, Lisa …
Freethoughtblogs.com · September 2, 2026- Mike Lindell challenges Minnesota GOP primary loss as state Supreme Court rejects recount bid
Mike Lindell, a prominent Trump supporter, is challenging his Republican primary defeat in Minnesota. The Minnesota Supreme Court rejected his request for a broader recount of the gubernatorial primary ballots. Lindell had argued for a more extensive review o…
The Times of India · August 30, 2026
Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who is winning the 2026 Minnesota Governor race?
VotePredictor's model favors Amy Klobuchar (D), with roughly a 94% chance of winning and a projected margin of D+8.7.
What do the polls say in the Minnesota Governor race?
There are 3 polls of this race. The most recent, from SurveyUSA (2026-09-14), showed D+7.0. VotePredictor's poll-weighted projection is D+8.7.
Who are the candidates in the 2026 Minnesota Governor race?
Amy Klobuchar is the Democratic candidate; Lisa Demuth is the Republican.
When is the 2026 Minnesota Governor election?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. VotePredictor refreshes this forecast every day until then.
Has the 2026 Minnesota Governor forecast changed recently?
Yes — over the polls collected so far, Amy Klobuchar's (D) lead has widened to 94%. The chart above tracks the full trajectory.
How does VotePredictor forecast the Minnesota Governor race?
It is a poll-driven model. Recent polls are weighted by recency and adjusted for each pollster's historical house effect, then a machine-learning model (TabPFN) trained on U.S. races from 1998–2025 turns them into a projected margin and win probability.