VotePredictor
all races

Minnesota Governor

Amy Klobuchar (D) vs Lisa Demuth (R)

Forecast — win probability
Amy Klobuchar (D)
79%
(R) Lisa Demuth
21%
Lean D · model margin D+9.1

Why this forecast

This forecast is poll-driven: 4 polls of the race so far. After weighting them by recency and correcting each pollster's house effect, the model (TabPFN) predicts D+9.1 — a 79% Democratic win.

Forecast over time

The model's win probability for each party, rerun from the polls available on each date. Dashed line = even odds.

0255075100FebMarAprMayJunJul21% R79% D
Democrats 79% Republicans 21%

Latest news

Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)

Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.

Polls (4)

PollsterDatenPoll
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.2026-06-10800D+8.0
Minnesota Star Tribune2026-06-10800D+8.0
Emerson College2026-02-081000D+13.4
SurveyUSA2026-01-30575D+15.0