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Minnesota 2026 elections
Everything on Minnesota's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 1 competitive U.S. House district, and its 2 senators and 8 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (1)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
MN-1Brad Finstad (R) · incumbent · pres lean R+11.2Toss-up52% · D+0.3
Toss-up
52% · D+0.3
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.2, held by Brad Finstad (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+4.6; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+0.3 — a 52% Democratic win.