Actual result
R+9.1
Final polls said
R+7.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+10.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-20 | 409 | R+4.0 | 5 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 1998-10-18 | 916 | R+10.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-07 | 412 | R+2.0 | 7 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-09-16 | 409 | D+2.0 | 11 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 1998-09-08 | 909 | R+2.0 | 7 |