New Mexico 2026 elections
Everything on New Mexico's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: no statewide race is on the 2026 ballot, but here are 1 competitive U.S. House district, and its 2 senators and 3 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Competitive House districts (1)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
NM-2Gabriel Vasquez (D) · incumbent · pres lean EVENToss-up64% · D+2.5
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is EVEN, held by Gabriel Vasquez (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+2.4; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+2.5 — a 64% Democratic win.